84% winner backs underdog

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 3, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sharp-wallet override: an 84% winner joined a 3-wallet underdog-side flow, though the largest leg appears to be profit-taking from a prior Mochizuki position.
Total
$23,884
Trades
3
Analysis
- A bettor who wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $100k sold the favorite, equivalent to backing the underdog.
- Three wallets put $23.9k on the Rafael Jodar side during a 17x pre-match volume spike.
- Current 18¢ odds are below the cluster’s roughly 23¢ average entry, offering a cheaper price than the original flow.
Copy Trade
Buy Rafael Jodar at 23¢
Detected July 3, 2026 at 3:36 PM