Sharp cluster buying underdog

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Houston Astros, scheduled for July 3 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Five wallets, including two strong profitable bettors, clustered into Houston despite the market moving against their average entry.
Total
$13,080
Trades
8
Analysis
- Two profitable bettors in this cluster win 81% and 75% of resolved trades, with about $635k combined profit.
- Five wallets put $13.1k on the same side, all effectively backing Houston.
- Houston is now 32¢ versus the cluster’s roughly 47¢ average entry, giving a cheaper copy price than they paid.
Copy Trade
Buy Houston Astros at 47¢
Detected July 4, 2026 at 2:06 AM