95% winner fading Messi goal

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Argentina and Cabo Verde, scheduled for July 3 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi records 1+ goals in the official box score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Own goals do not count. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "50-50". If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Elite 95% lifetime winner with strong cross-market history is buying No on Messi scoring at 34¢, supported by a pre-event volume spike.
Total
$3,517
Trades
1
Win Rate
95%
Wallet P&L
+$137,675
Analysis
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $137,675 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 37 events with the same 95% hit rate.
- Entry at 34¢ implies they see Messi not scoring as a roughly 2.9x opportunity.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 34¢
Detected July 3, 2026 at 9:29 PM