95% winner buying No

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup match between Portugal and Spain, scheduled for July 6 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the match goes to a penalty shootout. This market will resolve to "No" if the match is completed without going to a penalty shootout. For the purposes of this market, a match goes to a penalty shootout if play concludes in a draw after extra time plus stoppage time for that match. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is canceled entirely, with no make-up match, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is abandoned before a penalty shootout is reached, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Sharp wallet with a 95% record and positive lifetime P&L bought No at 81¢ in a relatively quiet market.
Total
$1,922
Trades
1
Win Rate
95%
Wallet P&L
+$6,096
Analysis
- This bettor has won 19 of 20 resolved bets and is up about $6.1K lifetime.
- They bought $1,960 of No at 81¢, a sizable trade versus this market’s recent volume.
- Entry at 81¢ suggests they see no penalty shootout as the strong favorite.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 81¢
Detected July 4, 2026 at 1:42 PM