3-wallet draw pile-in

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 4, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Three wallets piled into Yes within minutes at 51-63¢ before the market jumped to 70%, led by a serial cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate and nearly $1.0M in profit.
Total
$4,638
Trades
4
Analysis
- Three wallets all bought Yes within minutes, and the price jumped from 51-63¢ to 70% right after.
- One of the wallets wins 75% of 625 resolved bets and is up about $986k, which gives this cluster more weight.
- They entered well below the current 70¢ price, suggesting the group saw the draw as mispriced before the move.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 54¢
Detected April 4, 2026 at 9:24 PM