86% win-rate prop bettor

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between England and Argentina, scheduled for July 15 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi records more than 0.5 assists within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "No" if Lionel Messi records 0.5 assists or fewer within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Assists are counted only if credited to Lionel Messi in the official match statistics. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If Lionel Messi is listed as inactive or otherwise does not play, the market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Sharp 86% lifetime winner is adding to an existing No position shortly before the match on a thin, wide-spread Messi assists prop.
Total
$2,914
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$186,268
Analysis
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $185K lifetime.
- They are adding to an existing No position, now with about $6K already invested at a 77¢ average entry.
- This wallet has traded across 102 events, suggesting a repeatable sports/prop-market process rather than a one-off bet.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 77¢
Detected July 15, 2026 at 7:11 PM