Sharp bettor scaling into Yes
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and England, scheduled for July 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "France" if France score more goals than England in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if France and England score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "England" if England score more goals than France in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A highly profitable, historically sharp bettor added to a large Yes position amid a major volume spike, though the market has since moved sharply against them.
Total
$3,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
81%
Wallet P&L
+$295,461
Analysis
- This bettor wins 81% of 101 resolved trades and is up $295,461 overall.
- They added $3,000 to an existing Yes position at 32¢ during a 48.9x volume spike.
- The position is highly contrarian: Yes has since fallen to roughly 2%, making this more notable to study than blindly copy.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 32¢
Detected July 18, 2026 at 10:19 PM