91% winner takes a contrarian loss

This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Torres and Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Estoril Open, originally scheduled for July 20, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Torres” if Tiago Torres wins set 2. It will resolve to “Basilashvili” if Nikoloz Basilashvili wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
A proven bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial positive edge made a large, concentrated bet in a thin market, though the position has since moved sharply against them.
Total
$2,002
Trades
1
Win Rate
94%
Wallet P&L
+$17,766
Analysis
- This bettor has won 10 of 11 resolved positions, earning $12,984 on $55,355 invested.
- The $2,002 Basilashvili bet represented 65% of 24-hour volume in a market with a wide spread.
- Basilashvili has fallen from the 70¢ entry to 38¢, making this an aggressive contrarian position rather than a confirmed winner.
Copy Trade
Buy Basilashvili at 70¢
Detected July 20, 2026 at 12:28 PM