Smart Money SignalScore: 4.0
Profitable serial cross-market bettor
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Arc (https://x.com/arc) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Arc, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a large relative bet is buying No on a thin crypto-token launch market despite recent Yes momentum.
Total
$1,732
Trades
1
Win Rate
76%
Wallet P&L
+$223,776
Analysis
- This bettor wins 67% of resolved trades and is up $41,496 lifetime.
- They are taking No at 31¢ against a market that has moved toward Yes by 12.5 points this week.
- The $1,484 bet is meaningful for a market with only $4,316 in liquidity.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 31¢
Detected July 21, 2026 at 9:56 PM