Profitable MLB bettor makes oversized Over bet

In the upcoming MLB game between the Kansas City Royals and Minnesota Twins, scheduled for July 28 at 7:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Kansas City Royals and Minnesota Twins combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A highly experienced, profitable bettor made an $8.6K Over wager that represented nearly ten times the market's reported recent volume, though the historical edge is modest.
Total
$8,619
Trades
1
Win Rate
65%
Wallet P&L
+$42,490,523
Analysis
- This bettor is up $28.5 million across nearly 30,000 resolved trades with a 63% win rate.
- The $8,619 Over wager represented 937% of the reported $920 in 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a relatively quiet market.
- The entry price was 55¢, implying the bettor valued Over materially above a coin flip despite only a 1¢ spread.
Copy Trade
Buy Over at 55¢
Detected July 28, 2026 at 10:32 PM