Thin-market whale buying Under

In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between CR Vasco da Gama and Independiente Medellín, scheduled for July 29 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if CR Vasco da Gama and Independiente Medellín combine to score 2 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If the combined first-half total is less than 2 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A highly experienced, profitable trader placed $7.2K on Under in an exceptionally thin market, representing over 480 times its prior 24-hour volume and moving the price from 72% to 79%.
Total
$7,214
Trades
3
Win Rate
56%
Wallet P&L
+$8,090,529
Analysis
- The trader committed $7,214 to Under in a market with only $15 of prior 24-hour volume.
- The three purchases at 72¢ were followed by Under rising to 79%, confirming meaningful market impact.
- This wallet has over 67,000 resolved trades and $6.7M in reported profit, though its 55% win rate is not exceptionally high.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 72¢
Detected July 30, 2026 at 8:12 AM