Large thin-market ShindeN bet

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Imperial and ShindeN in the StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 30 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Imperial" if Imperial win Map 1 against ShindeN. This market will resolve to "ShindeN" if ShindeN win Map 1 against Imperial. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
A large ShindeN position in an essentially inactive, thin market drove a 28-point price move, though the trader's broad record does not independently show a clear edge.
Total
$2,285
Trades
2
Win Rate
62%
Wallet P&L
+$654,877
Analysis
- A $1,049 ShindeN buy at 66¢ helped drive the outcome from roughly 48% to 76%.
- The market had no reported 24-hour volume and only about $167 of order-book depth, making this a highly consequential position.
- The bettor has a 61% lifetime win rate across 6,449 resolved trades, but that is not clearly above their 69¢ average winning entry price.
Copy Trade
Buy ShindeN at 66¢
Detected July 30, 2026 at 7:21 PM