Experienced trader fades Lavked

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between Lavked and megoshort in the Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 31 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lavked" if Lavked win Map 2 against megoshort. This market will resolve to "megoshort" if megoshort win Map 2 against Lavked. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
An experienced high-volume trader made an outsized contrarian bet in an extremely thin esports market, despite lacking a clearly demonstrated odds edge.
Total
$2,831
Trades
1
Win Rate
61%
Wallet P&L
+$641,821
Analysis
- This $2,831 sell was nearly seven times the market's entire 24-hour volume and dwarfs its $370 liquidity.
- The trader has participated in 532 events and is up $584,760 lifetime across 6,539 resolved bets.
- The 61% win rate is credible experience but not a strong edge relative to the trader's 69¢ average winning price.
Copy Trade
Buy megoshort at 29¢
Detected July 31, 2026 at 4:47 PM