Large bet in dormant market

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Alex Michelsen in the Mubadala Citi DC Open, originally scheduled for July 31, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 23. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.
A $2,500 Over bet is unusually large for a market with only $20 in 24-hour volume, though the bettor's track record offers limited evidence of a strong edge.
Total
$2,500
Trades
1
Win Rate
54%
Wallet P&L
-$142,730
Analysis
- The bettor put $2,500 on Over despite just $20 of total 24-hour market volume.
- This adds to an existing Over position worth about $3,765, showing continued conviction in a thinly traded tennis market.
- The wallet has 1,413 resolved bets and is profitable overall, but its 55% win rate is not clearly superior to its typical 60¢ winning entry price.
Copy Trade
Buy Over at 66¢
Detected July 31, 2026 at 8:44 PM