Profitable serial trader makes thin-market bet

This market refers to the Valorant match between Karmine Corp and Team Liquid in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for August 1 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Map 1 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Map 1 against Karmine Corp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
A highly experienced serial trader with a 73% win rate and nearly $1M profit placed a concentrated $10.5K bet in an exceptionally thin market, though the price has since fallen sharply.
Total
$7,518
Trades
2
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$1,060,075
Analysis
- This bettor has won 73% of 442 resolved trades and is up about $981K lifetime.
- They placed $10.5K on Karmine Corp in a market with only $79 of 24-hour volume.
- The position was entered around 62–68¢, but Karmine Corp has since fallen to 44¢, making this a high-conviction but currently underwater trade.
Copy Trade
Buy Karmine Corp at 66¢
Detected August 1, 2026 at 6:39 PM