Profitable serial trader buys No

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 1, 2026 If New York Red Bulls wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader made a concentrated No bet amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the historical edge is moderate.
Total
$1,226
Trades
1
Win Rate
62%
Wallet P&L
+$3,625,380
Analysis
- This bettor has resolved 21,577 trades, a 62% win rate, and $3.94M in lifetime profit.
- The $1,226 No bet represents a large share of the market’s $2,087 in 24-hour volume.
- An extreme 21,090x volume spike across four trades adds support to the directional move, despite the bettor’s moderate historical edge.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 58¢
Detected August 1, 2026 at 11:06 PM