Thin-market whale backing runs

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and San Diego Padres, scheduled for August 1 at 8:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the San Francisco Giants and San Diego Padres combine to score 10 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 10, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A large Over bet entered at 60% in an extremely thin market, alongside a correlated Padres position and a sharp price move, though the wallet lacks a strong historical edge.
Total
$16,625
Trades
2
Win Rate
54%
Wallet P&L
+$3,003,257
Analysis
- This bettor put $7,345 on Over at 60% in a market with only $1,266 of liquidity.
- The same wallet also bet $9,280 on San Diego, forming a correlated high-scoring-game thesis.
- Over has since risen to 64%, while the wallet’s 28,326 resolved bets show substantial experience but only a 54% win rate.
Copy Trade
Buy Over at 60¢
Detected August 2, 2026 at 2:37 AM