Four-wallet No cluster before sharp repricing

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 4, 2026 If RU Saint-Gilloise wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Four wallets, including highly profitable repeat bettors, concentrated $17.7K into No before the market moved from roughly 56-64% to 82%, supported by a 53x volume spike.
Total
$17,688
Trades
4
Analysis
- Four wallets committed $17,688 to No, and the market subsequently rose to 82% from entries between 59¢ and 64¢.
- One bettor has won 211 of 211 resolved trades, while another has a 70% win rate across 2,691 bets and $478,747 in profit.
- The 53x volume spike and 26-point daily move show this was unusually concentrated positioning, though two wallets were adding to existing No positions.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 62¢
Detected August 4, 2026 at 6:28 PM