87% winner makes a thin-market bet

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Butterfly and ex-RUSTEC in the NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 5 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Butterfly" if Butterfly win the match against ex-RUSTEC. This market will resolve to "ex-RUSTEC" if ex-RUSTEC win the match against Butterfly. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
A highly profitable serial trader with an 87% win rate placed a large, concentrated bet on Butterfly in a thin esports market.
Total
$3,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
89%
Wallet P&L
+$774,937
Analysis
- This bettor has won 87% of 510 resolved trades and earned about $395,000 in profit.
- The $3,000 Butterfly position represents nearly seven times the market’s recent 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction.
- The trade was entered at 57%, while Butterfly is currently around 55%, offering a copy entry below the bettor’s price.
Copy Trade
Buy Butterfly at 57¢
Detected August 6, 2026 at 10:26 AM