Thin-market tennis whale
This market refers to the tennis match between Jessica Pegula and Magdalena Frech in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Pegula” if Jessica Pegula wins the first set. It will resolve to “Frech” if Magdalena Frech wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics.
A $1,465 Pegula bet is exceptionally large relative to this nearly inactive market, though the bettor's extensive history shows only modest edge and the price has since fallen below entry.
Total
$1,465
Trades
1
Win Rate
63%
Wallet P&L
+$33,638,562
Analysis
- This bettor committed $1,465 in a market with only $30 of 24-hour volume.
- The position represents roughly one-third of available liquidity, signaling strong conviction in Pegula winning the first set.
- The wallet has traded across 4,094 events and is up $33.1 million, although its 63% win rate is only modestly above its average winning price.
Copy Trade
Buy Pegula at 83¢
Detected August 6, 2026 at 10:26 AM