High-volume serial trader in thin market

In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for August 5 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SK Brann" if SK Brann win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Apóllon Lemesoú". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A highly experienced serial trader placed a concentrated $4,124 bet on Apóllon Lemesoú in a very thin market, though the wallet's entry price matches its historical average winning price.
Total
$4,124
Trades
2
Win Rate
72%
Wallet P&L
+$5,363,847
Analysis
- This bettor has 12,603 resolved trades, a 72% win rate, and $4.8 million in reported profit.
- The $4,124 position is more than twice the market’s entire 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in Apóllon Lemesoú.
- The position was bought at 68¢ and has moved to 74¢, while the market remains relatively liquid at a 25–26¢ spread on the opposing outcome.
Copy Trade
Buy Apóllon Lemesoú at 68¢
Detected August 6, 2026 at 10:26 AM