Serial bettor fades Over

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Aarhus GF and Sabah FK, scheduled for August 5 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Aarhus GF and Sabah FK combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A serial cross-market bettor made a large effective Under position as Over collapsed 50 percentage points, though the wallet's 75% win rate does not clearly show an edge at its typical prices.
Total
$1,065
Trades
1
Win Rate
75%
Wallet P&L
+$96,086
Analysis
- A $1,065 sell of Over at 34¢ translates to a strong Under position at 66¢.
- Over fell roughly 50 percentage points after the trade, with volume spiking more than 5,000× the recent average.
- The wallet has 1,388 resolved bets and a 75% win rate, but its average winning entry of 87¢ limits the evidence of a pricing edge.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 66¢
Detected August 5, 2026 at 7:10 PM