92% win-rate serial trader buys No

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 5, 2026 If Arsenal FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market will settle based on the final score of the match, regardless of format (e.g. two halves totaling 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or four periods totaling 120 minutes). The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A highly experienced serial trader with a 92% win rate made a concentrated $6,769 bet on No despite the market now pricing No at only 66%.
Total
$2,670
Trades
1
Win Rate
92%
Wallet P&L
+$3,032,589
Analysis
- This bettor has won 92% of 1,517 resolved trades and earned over $3 million.
- They placed a concentrated $6,769 bet on No at 85¢, signaling strong conviction.
- No has since fallen to 66%, creating a notable divergence from the trader’s entry view.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 85¢
Detected August 5, 2026 at 8:07 PM