Serial bettor makes contrarian No bet

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 7, 2026 If São Bernardo FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A large, highly unusual No position created a massive volume spike in a relatively quiet sports market, though the trader lacks a clearly superior win-rate edge and the market has since moved against them.
Total
$5,143
Trades
4
Win Rate
68%
Wallet P&L
+$508,183
Analysis
- This bettor placed $5,143 on No, accounting for roughly 71% of the flagged 24-hour volume.
- The trade triggered a reported 9,330x volume spike and was followed by a major market repricing.
- The wallet has 1,171 resolved bets and $365,441 in lifetime profit, but its 66% win rate is not clearly above its typical 73¢ winning entry price.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 72¢
Detected August 7, 2026 at 11:26 PM