Sharp bettor buys Yes in thin market
In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 8, 2026 If Kashiwa Reysol wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A highly profitable serial bettor with an 86% win rate placed a large Yes position in an exceptionally thin market, despite the 90% entry price.
Total
$1,400
Trades
1
Win Rate
86%
Wallet P&L
+$152,284
Analysis
- This bettor wins 86% of 315 resolved positions and is up $149,703 lifetime.
- The $1,400 purchase was roughly 280 times the market’s $5 in 24-hour volume, signaling unusually strong conviction in a thin book.
- The trade entered at 90¢, implying the bettor valued Kashiwa Reysol leading at halftime at least that highly.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 90¢
Detected August 8, 2026 at 10:52 AM