Sharp wallets buying No

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 8, 2026 If CD Riestra wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Three wallets committed $28.3K to No, including two highly profitable traders, before a major repricing from roughly 32% to 68% implied Yes.
Total
$18,279
Trades
6
Analysis
- Three wallets bought $28,313 of No, creating a strong one-sided position in a relatively liquid sports market.
- One bettor has won 100% of 227 resolved trades, while another is up $730,147 with a 75% win rate.
- The trades coincided with a 1,963x historical volume spike and a 39-point move favoring No.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 62¢
Detected August 8, 2026 at 6:13 PM