Serial trader moves a thin market

In the upcoming MLB game between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 9 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Los Angeles Dodgers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A serial cross-market trader committed $3,148—over two-thirds of 24-hour volume—to Arizona in a thin market, helping drive a sharp repricing despite only a market-rate historical win profile.
Total
$3,148
Trades
2
Win Rate
60%
Wallet P&L
+$1,882,031
Analysis
- This trader committed $3,148, equal to 68% of 24-hour volume and more than twice the market's liquidity.
- Two buys at 55¢ and 80¢ show increasing conviction as Arizona's price jumped 44.5% in one day.
- The wallet has traded across 806 events and 1,303 markets, but its 60% win rate at a 60¢ average winning price is not a standout edge.
Copy Trade
Buy Arizona Diamondbacks at 70¢
Detected August 9, 2026 at 8:59 PM