Sharp bettor exits before collapse

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between RE.Arise and Ilbirs eSports in the Asgard Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 9 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "RE.Arise" if RE.Arise win the match against Ilbirs eSports. This market will resolve to "Ilbirs eSports" if Ilbirs eSports win the match against RE.Arise. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
A highly profitable serial trader sold a large Ilbirs position at 86¢ before the outcome collapsed, with strong historical edge and substantial existing exposure.
Total
$1,164
Trades
1
Win Rate
76%
Wallet P&L
+$519,157
Analysis
- This bettor wins 76% of 620 trades and is up $443,864, with a 26-point edge over implied odds.
- They sold Ilbirs eSports at 86¢ after holding $11,429 of exposure, avoiding the subsequent collapse to near zero.
- The trade came from a serial cross-market trader active across 68 events and 84 markets.
Copy Trade
Buy RE.Arise at 14¢
Detected August 9, 2026 at 9:39 PM