Thin-market tennis conviction

This market refers to the tennis match between Herman Hoeyeraal and Didrik Liljekvist in the ITF M15 Malmö Men, originally scheduled for August 11, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Herman Hoeyeraal' if Herman Hoeyeraal advances against Didrik Liljekvist. This market will resolve to 'Didrik Liljekvist' if Didrik Liljekvist advances against Herman Hoeyeraal. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A fresh $2,100 position in a thin tennis market moved Didrik Liljekvist from roughly 50-55% to 62%, despite the wallet's only moderate 56% win rate.
Total
$2,100
Trades
2
Win Rate
56%
Wallet P&L
+$8,193,660
Analysis
- The bettor placed $2,100 on Didrik Liljekvist in a market with only $49 of recent volume.
- Both buys were fresh positions at 50¢ and 55¢, and the outcome has since risen to 62%.
- The wallet has a large 79,975-bet history and $7.85M in reported profit, though its 56% win rate is not exceptional.
Copy Trade
Buy Didrik Liljekvist at 53¢
Detected August 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM