95% winner backs paiN underdog

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between 9z and paiN in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 12 at 3:10PM ET. This market will resolve to "9z" if 9z win the match against paiN. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win the match against 9z. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
A highly successful serial trader with a 95% win rate placed a concentrated $2,223 bet on paiN at 36¢ in a thin recent-volume window.
Total
$2,223
Trades
1
Win Rate
95%
Wallet P&L
+$860,384
Analysis
- This bettor has won 95% of 128 resolved trades and is up $860,384 lifetime.
- The $2,223 paiN position represented over 20 times the detected 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a relatively quiet market.
- The entry at 36¢ implies roughly a 2.8x payout if paiN wins, despite the market favoring 9z at 64%.
Copy Trade
Buy paiN at 36¢
Detected August 11, 2026 at 12:15 PM