Serial trader takes contrarian No

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 11, 2026 If FC Cincinnati wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A highly active sports-market trader made a notable contrarian No entry during a 236.9x volume surge, though their long-term record does not show clear odds-adjusted edge.
Total
$4,129
Trades
1
Win Rate
71%
Wallet P&L
+$5,582,497
Analysis
- This bettor has resolved 22,093 trades with a 72% win rate and $5.1M lifetime profit.
- The $2,669 No purchase arrived during a 236.9x historical volume spike, while Yes had risen 25% over the week.
- The No entry at 30¢ implies roughly a 3.3x payout if Cincinnati fails to win, but the trader's average winning price is also 72%, limiting evidence of superior pricing skill.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 30¢
Detected August 11, 2026 at 11:14 PM