Three-wallet NAV conviction cluster

This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between Team Heretics and Natus Vincere in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win Map 1 against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Map 1 against Team Heretics. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Three wallets concentrated $7,626 on Natus Vincere amid a 65.8x volume spike and sharp price movement, though their historical win rates do not show a clear standalone edge.
Total
$8,979
Trades
6
Analysis
- Three wallets committed $7,626 to Natus Vincere while the market experienced a 65.8x surge in trading activity.
- Natus Vincere was the clear coordinated direction, with the cluster associated with a roughly 28-point price move.
- The wallets have profitable histories, but their 50–53% win rates are not strong enough to establish them as elite bettors.
Copy Trade
Buy Natus Vincere at 45¢
Detected August 12, 2026 at 6:33 PM