Nine-wallet contrarian No cluster

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 12, 2026 If SE Palmeiras wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A nine-wallet No cluster and 38x volume spike make this a notable contrarian trade, though the bettor’s record does not clearly outperform the odds and the market has since moved sharply against No.
Total
$6,299
Trades
1
Win Rate
73%
Wallet P&L
+$401,564
Analysis
- Nine wallets bought No for a combined $23,265, creating a concentrated contrarian signal against the 90% Yes price.
- Trading volume reached 38.1 times its historical average, while the No price moved 24 percentage points during the alert window.
- The lead bettor has a 73% win rate across 1,033 resolved bets, but that is below the 80¢ average winning entry price and does not prove a strong edge here.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 63¢
Detected August 12, 2026 at 11:53 PM