Three-wallet fade of favorite
This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Brandon Nakashima in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 12, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Three wallets coordinated a $7.1K sell-off of Nakashima, including a highly profitable serial trader, though some selling appears to be position management.
Total
$7,124
Trades
3
Analysis
- Three wallets sold $7,124 of Nakashima while the favorite fell sharply from much higher levels, pointing to coordinated downside conviction.
- One participant has won 70% of 88,626 resolved trades and earned nearly $500,000 lifetime across 1,262 events.
- Some trades may be profit-taking from existing Nakashima positions, so the signal is meaningful but not uniformly fresh conviction.
Copy Trade
Buy Rafael Jodar at 22¢
Detected August 13, 2026 at 12:24 AM