Serial trader moves thin Over market

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago White Sox, scheduled for August 13 at 2:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Sal Stewart records more than 0.5 home runs during the game. This market will resolve to "Under" if Sal Stewart records less than 0.5 home runs during the game. The entire game including all extra innings will be considered. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the field at any point, the market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A serial cross-market trader added $1,822 to an existing Over position in a thin market at 73%, driving the price up nearly 40 percentage points.
Total
$1,822
Trades
1
Win Rate
67%
Wallet P&L
+$321,309
Analysis
- A $1,822 buy was large relative to the market’s roughly $679 liquidity and helped push Over from about 50% to 90%.
- The wallet has traded across 207 events and 224 markets, with a 67% win rate and $323,000 lifetime profit.
- This was an add to an existing Over position, signaling increased conviction, though the trader’s historical edge is moderate rather than exceptional.
Copy Trade
Buy Over at 73¢
Detected August 13, 2026 at 5:54 PM