Profitable serial trader buys Under

In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between CR Vasco da Gama and Club Olimpia, scheduled for August 13 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if CR Vasco da Gama and Club Olimpia combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on conmebol.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
An extremely experienced, highly profitable serial trader placed a sizeable Under bet in a thin market, despite only modestly above-market historical accuracy.
Total
$3,074
Trades
1
Win Rate
69%
Wallet P&L
+$11,480,292
Analysis
- This bettor has 18,249 resolved trades, a 66% win rate, and nearly $5.9 million in reported profit.
- The $3,074 Under bet represented over seven times the market’s recent trading volume and a large share of its $4,350 liquidity.
- The trader entered Under at 45¢, near the market’s 44% implied probability, so the edge is driven more by trader quality and conviction than a clear pricing discount.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 45¢
Detected August 13, 2026 at 10:34 PM