Serial trader sells Over into volume spike

In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Santos FC and CSyD Macará, scheduled for August 13 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Santos FC and CSyD Macará combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on conmebol.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A serial cross-market trader made a bearish Over trade amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, and Over has since fallen from 70% to 56%.
Total
$1,198
Trades
1
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$198,578
Analysis
- This bettor has traded 1596 resolved markets across 131 events, with a 74% win rate and $191,268 in reported profit.
- The trade coincided with a 2368.9x historical volume spike, while Over subsequently fell from the 70% sale price to 56%.
- The bearish position implies roughly 30% fair value for Under, offering a potentially attractive contrarian entry if the move continues.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 30¢
Detected August 13, 2026 at 11:42 PM