Serial trader moves thin tennis market
This market refers to the tennis match between Mark Lajal and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Lajal” if Mark Lajal wins the first set. It will resolve to “Cerundolo” if Juan Manuel Cerundolo wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
A serial cross-market trader made a concentrated $7.6K bet in an extremely thin market, and Cerundolo has since risen from roughly 52% to 76%.
Total
$7,620
Trades
2
Win Rate
64%
Wallet P&L
+$40,837,014
Analysis
- This trader committed $7,619 to Cerundolo when the outcome was priced near 52%, now up to 76%.
- The bet exceeded the market’s entire prior 24-hour volume by more than 20 times in a very thin book.
- The wallet has traded across 4,374 events and is up $37.2M lifetime, providing meaningful experience despite a 63% win rate.
Copy Trade
Buy Cerundolo at 52¢
Detected August 14, 2026 at 7:15 PM