Large bet in a thin market

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and New York Mets, scheduled for August 14 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Washington Nationals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A serial trader placed a large concentrated Nationals bet in a very thin market, with the position already moving from 72% to 80%.
Total
$3,730
Trades
2
Win Rate
56%
Wallet P&L
+$8,204,153
Analysis
- This $3,730 Nationals position was nearly 19 times the market's entire 24-hour volume.
- The bettor has traded 4,761 events and is up $7.9 million lifetime, though the 56% win rate is not exceptionally sharp.
- The position entered at 72% and has moved favorably to 80%, supporting the direction of the trade.
Copy Trade
Buy Washington Nationals at 72¢
Detected August 15, 2026 at 1:15 AM