Serial trader makes thin-market bet

In the upcoming LigaPro Primera A game, scheduled for August 14 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CSD Independiente del Valle" if CSD Independiente del Valle win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Delfin SC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligapro.ec. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A highly experienced serial trader made a $3,450 bet in a thin, wide-spread market, though their historical results do not clearly show an edge and the price has since moved sharply against them.
Total
$3,450
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$6,721,983
Analysis
- This trader has placed over $10.2 million across 1,036 events and 1,856 markets.
- The $3,450 position was over three times the market’s 24-hour volume in a market with a 43-point spread.
- The entry was 53¢, but the outcome has since fallen to about 31¢, making this a notable contrarian position rather than a proven sharp signal.
Copy Trade
Buy CSD Independiente del Valle at 53¢
Detected August 15, 2026 at 1:38 AM