Serial bettor caught sharp Iron Wing move

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Iron Wing and GamerLegion in the The International Elimination Round, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Iron Wing" if Iron Wing win Game 2 against GamerLegion. This market will resolve to "GamerLegion" if GamerLegion win Game 2 against Iron Wing. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 16, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
A sizable add by a serial cross-market bettor coincided with a 45.9x volume spike and a 17.2-point move toward Iron Wing, though the wallet's 65% win rate is only moderate evidence of edge.
Total
$1,868
Trades
1
Win Rate
65%
Wallet P&L
+$7,457
Analysis
- The $1,868 buy at 80¢ was followed by Iron Wing moving to about 92%.
- Trading volume spiked 45.9x above its recent average, with the market shifting 17.2 percentage points.
- This wallet has traded 296 markets across 191 events and is up $14,676, though its 65% win rate is not elite.
Copy Trade
Buy Iron Wing at 80¢
Detected August 16, 2026 at 7:41 AM