$6M-profit serial trader buys No

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 16, 2026 If Liverpool FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market will settle based on the final score of the match, regardless of format (e.g. two halves totaling 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or four periods totaling 120 minutes). The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader placed a sizable No bet in a relatively thin market, though the measured edge is modest.
Total
$1,637
Trades
1
Win Rate
66%
Wallet P&L
+$7,954,900
Analysis
- This bettor has won 12,933 of 19,757 resolved trades and is up roughly $6.0M lifetime.
- The $1,637 No position represents about 33% of the market's 24-hour volume.
- The No entry was 47¢, while the market now prices No at 44%, making this a meaningful contrarian position despite the modest historical edge.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 47¢
Detected August 16, 2026 at 10:50 AM