92% winner backs first-half Over

In the upcoming FA Community Shield game between Arsenal FC and Manchester City, scheduled for August 16 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Arsenal FC and Manchester City combine to score 2 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If the combined first-half total is less than 2 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A highly profitable serial trader with a 92% win rate and substantial edge made an $8,800 concentrated bet on Over despite the market subsequently falling to 35%.
Total
$8,800
Trades
3
Win Rate
91%
Wallet P&L
+$7,746,124
Analysis
- This bettor has won 209 of 226 resolved positions, earning $7.35 million in reported profit.
- They concentrated $8,800 on Over at an average entry near 37%, despite the current price falling to 35%.
- The trader has participated across 726 events and 769 markets, indicating a deep, repeatable track record rather than a one-off bet.
Copy Trade
Buy Over at 37¢
Detected August 16, 2026 at 1:46 PM