99% win-rate sharp backs de Minaur

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Alex de Minaur in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fery' if Arthur Fery advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Arthur Fery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly proven bettor with a 99% win rate and substantial positive edge made a concentrated $4,800 bet on Alex de Minaur, representing most of the recent market volume.
Total
$4,800
Trades
1
Win Rate
99%
Wallet P&L
+$17,354,868
Analysis
- This bettor has won 1,897 of 1,916 resolved positions, with a reported $17.3 million profit.
- The $4,800 position represents 83% of the market's 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction despite the liquid market.
- The bet was placed at 80¢, so the trader is backing Alex de Minaur to win at roughly an 80% implied probability.
Copy Trade
Buy Alex de Minaur at 80¢
Detected August 17, 2026 at 3:17 PM