Serial cross-market trader timed Yes decline

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 19, 2026 If ŠK Slovan Bratislava wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A serial cross-market trader sold Yes at 77¢ before the market fell to 50¢, though the trade appears partly consistent with profit-taking from an existing position.
Total
$1,451
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$5,621
Analysis
- This trader has participated across 88 events with a 70% win rate and about $8,000 in lifetime profit.
- They sold Yes at 77¢ while the market later moved to 50%, correctly favoring No.
- The position was previously held at a 54¢ average, so this may be profitable exit management rather than a fresh bet.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 23¢
Detected August 19, 2026 at 7:56 PM