Four-wallet tennis conviction cluster

This market refers to the tennis match between Luis Carlos Alvarez and Rio Noguchi in the Cancun, Mexico, Qualifying, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 6:20PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luis Carlos Alvarez' if Luis Carlos Alvarez advances against Rio Noguchi. This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Luis Carlos Alvarez. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Four wallets concentrated $12,161 into Rio Noguchi, including two strongly profitable bettors, amid a 39x volume spike in a thin market.
Total
$12,161
Trades
5
Analysis
- Four wallets bought Rio Noguchi for $12,161, exceeding the market’s 24-hour volume and signaling strong coordinated conviction.
- Two participants have standout records: one wins 94% of 82 bets with $186,090 profit, while another wins 82% across 619 bets with $152,120 profit.
- The bets entered around 52–77¢ before Rio Noguchi reached 100%, with a weighted average entry near 61¢.
Copy Trade
Buy Rio Noguchi at 61¢
Detected August 19, 2026 at 9:49 PM