Large bettor loading up on No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A large $5.7K No position consumes most of the market's daily volume and represents meaningful conviction in a thin market, despite the trader's only moderate track record.
Total
$5,655
Trades
1
Win Rate
57%
Wallet P&L
+$76,373
Analysis
- This bettor put $5,655 into No at 76¢—over seven times the market's recent daily volume.
- The position is large relative to roughly $10.7K of liquidity, making it a meaningful directional bet rather than routine activity.
- The wallet has traded 954 resolved markets and is up $28K, though its 60% win rate is only moderate evidence of an edge.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 76¢
Detected August 20, 2026 at 1:38 AM