Serial bettor buys No amid volume spike
In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 21, 2026 If FC Den Bosch wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A serial cross-market bettor with a large lifetime profit placed a concentrated No position during an extreme volume spike in a thin sports market, though the historical win rate offers only modest evidence of edge.
Total
$2,347
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$1,016,108
Analysis
- This bettor has won 71% of 13,855 resolved trades and is up $804,594 lifetime.
- The $2,347 No bet exceeded the market’s entire prior 24-hour volume, while volume spiked over 10,000× its baseline.
- The trade was entered at 54¢, implying the bettor sees roughly a 46% or lower chance of Den Bosch winning.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 54¢
Detected August 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM