Serial trader makes outsized Noguchi bet
This market refers to the tennis match between Yunchaokete Bu and Rio Noguchi in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Bu” if Yunchaokete Bu wins the first set. It will resolve to “Noguchi” if Rio Noguchi wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
A highly active and profitable trader placed a large concentrated bet in a very thin market, though the modest historical edge and subsequent price decline reduce conviction.
Total
$1,554
Trades
1
Win Rate
65%
Wallet P&L
+$47,908,813
Analysis
- This trader has resolved 45,927 bets and is up $43.3M overall.
- The $1,554 Noguchi bet was roughly 14 times the market’s 24-hour volume in a thin $2,363-liquidity book.
- Noguchi has since fallen from the 53¢ entry to about 38¢, so the position is not yet being validated by price action.
Copy Trade
Buy Noguchi at 53¢
Detected August 25, 2026 at 10:13 PM