Large bettor caught tennis repricing

This market refers to the tennis match between Mai Hontama and Andrea Lazaro Garcia in the US Open, Qualification WTA, originally scheduled for August 26, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mai Hontama' if Mai Hontama advances against Andrea Lazaro Garcia. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Lazaro Garcia' if Andrea Lazaro Garcia advances against Mai Hontama. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A large add-on bet coincided with an extreme pre-event volume spike and a 26-point move toward Mai Hontama, though the wallet's historical record is only moderately strong.
Total
$13,888
Trades
1
Win Rate
62%
Wallet P&L
+$753,920
Analysis
- A $13,888 buy helped precede a sharp move from 72¢ to roughly 90¢ on Mai Hontama.
- The market saw a 3,491× historical volume spike, with $127,207 traded in 24 hours.
- This wallet has 781 resolved bets and is up $374,000, but its 60% win rate is only moderate evidence of an edge.
Copy Trade
Buy Mai Hontama at 72¢
Detected August 26, 2026 at 5:42 PM